| |
Introduction
Health authorities constantly remind us that diabetes and obesity have
reached epidemic proportions throughout the Western world ( 1,
2, 3,
4, 5,
6, 7
) . Similar increases are occurring in other diseases such as asthma ( 8,
9,
10, 11
) osteoporosis ( 12,
13,
14 ) cardiovascular disease or
CVD
( 15, 16
), and mental illnesses such as depression and ADHD ( 17,
18, 19,
20 ) In fact,
depression, anxiety, and ADHD, have also reached epidemic proportions
in modern society ( 21,
22, 23,
24, 25,
26 ). Today, according to Charlton ( 116
), "psychiatric impairment is the norm" and "mental
health and well being are so rare as to be remarkable." Consistent with these changes, statistics reveal that more
people require more frequent medical consultations and the consumption of
prescription drugs continues to spiral. Medical research also reveals that
iatrogenic diseases have become the third leading cause of death behind
cardiovascular disease and cancer ( see Holistic
Medicine sets the Standard for Safety ). Health authorities continue
to remind us that in Australia, cardiovascular disease claims a life every
10-12 minutes ( 42,
108
) while in America one person dies every 60 seconds from a heart attack ( 109
). But yet
health authorities also claim that we are becoming healthier and are experiencing an unparalleled increase in life expectancy - around 25 years
over the past century ( 27,
28
) even in spite of the fact that the prevalence of obesity in Australia
has increased more than 100% in the last two decades ( 117
). According to Madden of the Australian Institute of Health and Welfare (
77
), "the health of most Australians is very good and continues to
improve." Do increasing mental illnesses, obesity, diabetes, CVD, and asthma really correlate
with improved health and a longer life? Is it true that the healthier we
become the more prescription drugs we will require?
If we are to assess the effectiveness of our current health care system it is absolutely imperative that we
accurately determine in which direction public health is actually progressing. Our ability
and will to introduce appropriate health reforms, is clearly proportional to our awareness of the shortcomings of our current health care system as indicated by directional changes in health statistics over time. In which direction, we must determine, is the health of modern society actually progressing? Are we becoming
healthier or sicker? Why is it that health experts cannot agree about the answer to this vitally important question? Who is right?
In order to answer these questions it is first necessary to establish the most suitable criteria to use to assess trends in public health. Although it is commonly thought that trends in average life expectancy at birth, and also causes of death statistics, accurately reflect changes in public health, these criteria, for reasons which I have briefly considered elsewhere (see
But What about Efficacy? ), are misused, misunderstood, misleading, and totally unreliable as a means of assessing changes in public health. There are much more reliable means by which trends in public health may be assessed and this is the focus of this article.
Although this discussion is based predominantly upon Australian data
similar trends are also occurring in other Western countries.
The purpose of this article is to reveal the truth, according to current
evidence, about directional trends in public health and in so doing to
establish and define any need for changes in current medical training and
practices. Since priority is given to truth, this article is not intended
merely to condone or perpetuate our current health care system, but rather
to establish positive directions for future changes.
1. Assessing Trends in Public Health
a) What is Wrong with Life Expectancy and Causes of Death Statistics?
To many, average life expectancy at birth has long been the hallmark for assessing health trends. However, since the infant death rate has been dramatically reduced over the past century, life expectancy at birth figures also show a corresponding
improvement ( 29
). Although statistically, the reduction in infant deaths suggests that people are living longer, this is merely an illusion bought about by the fact that less people are dying at or shortly after birth. If we eliminate the influence of changes in the infant death rate by examining life expectancy at age 65 or 70 years of age, it will be revealed that life expectancy
over the past century has increased very
little, in the order of 2 - 4 years in America ( 30
), or around 5 years in Australia ( de Looper - pers. comm. ). Any suggestion that people are living longer merely because fewer infants are dying
is merely statistical
nonsense. After all, just imagine how long we would all be living if the infant and
perinatal death rate was reduced to zero! It cannot be overemphasised that
average life expectancy at birth is a hypothetical mathematical figure which, even if
it has increased by 30 years, does not necessarily mean that even one
person is living 30 years longer, or for that matter, even 1 year
longer.
In spite of the misleading nature of life expectancy at birth figures, it is indeed interesting to note that many "experts" prefer to make this figure much more prominent than figures for life expectancy at 65 - 70 years of
age or any actual changes in longevity or life span, the latter figures, by comparison, being rather more difficult to obtain.
This popularity of life expectancy at birth figures is perhaps related to
the ease with which these figures may be misused to convey a false
impression about the effectiveness of modern medical science. If we wish
to honestly convey the full significance of such figures it is vitally
important that the correct terminology is used and the limitations of the
figures are fully explained, something which many authorities appear
determined to avoid.
In spite of the limitations of life expectancy statistics it is
interesting to observe the ways in which these figures are utilised by
health authorities and media outlets. Dr. Wooldridge for instance, the
former Australian Minister for Health, has
recently stated that "there has been a 20-year gain in life
expectancy" (
31 ) in the past century.
Of course there has been a 20 year increase in average life expectancy
at birth, but are we living any longer? Similarly, in
an attempt to demonstrate the effectiveness of modern medicine
a prominent "media doctor" has recently claimed on a Sydney radio station that we are
now living 25 years longer than we did a century ago.
Although I have contacted the doctor concerned in an attempt to clarify
the basis for his statements I have received no response.
Similar statements have been made by other experts and media outlets ( 32,
33, 34,
35 ). According to Ferrari for instance (
34
),
"babies born in the closing years of this century can expect to live
almost twice as long as babies born 100 years ago." Ferrari
continues: "Australians are living longer, with the average life
expectancy for men rising from 51 years at the beginning of the century to
75 years in the 1990's." Similarly, according to Recer ( 33
):
"human life expectancy has increased by three decades since 1900 and
may reach 85 for babies born in this century." Additionally,
according to Suter ( 35
), "one of the greatest changes in our
era is that people are now living longer about 25 years longer than
they were a century ago." Suter continues ( 35
): "people in western countries such as Australia, have gained as
much life expectancy in the last 50 years as they achieved in the previous
5,000 years." Although Suter also claims that genetic engineering may
even result in "the next generation to be born" having a life
expectancy of "110 or 120 years", it seems that the
reverse may be true since genetic engineering has been reported to cause
accelerated ageing and premature death ( click
here for more info).
A similar theme has been echoed by Humer of
Roche Pharmaceuticals (152):
"Looking back over the past century, it is clear that medical science has
made breathtaking advances. This is shown, for instance, by the fact that
life expectancy has risen enormously to around 80 years, compared with 55 in
the late nineteenth/early twentieth century when Roche was established. Even
so, it is still not possible to treat the causes of most diseases." To
describe the inability to treat the "causes of most diseases" as "breathtaking
advances" hardly seems appropriate, but even in spite of these
breathtaking advances, Humer also emphasises the stark reality of some of
the shortcomings of modern drug therapies (152):
"
| "One major problem is that drugs often do not have the
expected effect. We all know that and most of us have probably
experienced it either ourselves or in our families. The
Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers Association of America
estimates that about USD 100 million are wasted every year in the
United States alone because patients take drugs that are ineffective
or have serious side effects." |
Today we are witnessing the fruits of the
past century of medical advances, continuing breakthroughs, and
developments in sophisticated medical
technology. Deaths
from heart disease have increased from 6.2% of total deaths in 1900 to 31.4% in 1997 while
cancer deaths have increased from 3.7% to 23.3%. Medical experts
now claim that we are also becoming increasingly obese, so much so in fact that
obesity has reached epidemic proportions. But these same experts also claim
however, as we become more obese and suffer more from cancer and
heart disease, we are living longer and
longer........and longer. In fact it is claimed that we are on the verge
of reversing the ageing process. The past century has indeed been one
of remarkable medical progress, but why the desperation for genetic
engineering when immortality seems just around the corner?
So what does all this mean? Are we really
living 25 years longer and on the verge of immortality? If this were true it would be good news indeed,
but another explanation is possible since life
expectancy at birth statistics are often misinterpreted. According to the
Australian Bureau of Statistics ( ABS ) in this regard ( 29
), "life
expectancy at birth is often wrongly interpreted to mean that most people
die at that age." Although average life expectancy at birth has
indeed increased by almost 25 years over the past century (
36 ), as is noted by the ABS this does not necessarily mean that
people are living 25 years longer. We must be quite clear about this. It
is a well known fact that most of this 25 year increase in life expectancy
has, as I have previously indicated, resulted from a reduction in infant
mortality and NOT because we are living longer into old age. In the words
of the ABS ( 29
): "the increase in life expectancy is mainly due to fewer deaths
of young children, particularly in the first year of life ( infant
mortality )."
In spite of the repeated claims of experts from around the world
that life expectancy is synonymous with longevity and total life span,
this is the opposite of the truth. While average life expectancy at birth
has increased through the 20th century, total life
span on the other hand, has apparently remained static ( 80
) and perhaps may even be decreasing.
According to Nesse and Williams (128):
| "During the past few hundred years, the average
length of life (life expectancy) in modern societies has steadily
increased, but the maximum duration of life (life span) has
not. Centuries ago a few people may have lived to 115; today this
maximum remains about the same. All the wonders of medicine, all
the advances in public health have not demonstrably increased the
maximum duration of life." |
The oldest people in the world in recent times
normally live until around 114 - 122 years of age (
118, 119,
120, 121,
122,
123 ). However, 400 years
ago the oldest person in the world was Thomas Parr who died at the age of
152 and was said to be healthy right up until his death ( 124,
125,
126 ). We have a long way to go before we get back to the 1600's!!
I believe that when it comes to public health and matters such as life
expectancy the public is entitled to be correctly informed. Those who make
public statements regarding health matters have a responsibility to
maintain a standard of truth and accuracy which will not mislead or
deceive the public. With medical
issues especially, as we are frequently reminded, only the scientific
facts will do. I am at a loss to understand why, if these statistics are
as commonly "misinterpreted" as has been suggested by the ABS,
steps have not been taken to ensure that the relevant authorities are
educated about the correct interpretation and use of statistics. What is
most disturbing about this matter is the unanimity of these apparent
misinterpretations.
While claims that we are now living 25 years longer are clearly without
any factual basis, recent claims by Oeppen and Vaupel ( 57 ) that life
expectancy will continue to increase for the foreseeable future are also
deserving of comment. Unlike many other workers whose focus involved total
life expectancy changes over the past 100-200 years, Oeppen and Vaupel (
57 ) have adopted a rather different approach which emphasises the
regularity and consistency of annual changes in life expectancy over the
past 160 years. From this point of view it is not the alleged 25 year
total gain in life expectancy over the past 100 years that is important,
but rather it is the average annual increase of 3 months over this period
which this represents that is emphasised. Oeppen and Vaupel ( 57 ) not
only describe this 3 month annual increase as perhaps the "most
remarkable regularity of mass endeavour ever observed", but further, they
claim that on this basis life expectancy can be expected to increase at
this same annual rate for the foreseeable future. In fact, according to
Duke University ( 58 ), this study indicates there is "no natural
limit to life expectancy."
The importance of the study of Oeppen and Vaupel ( 57 ) is highlighted
by the various media reports of this study ( 59,
60,
61, 62,
63,
64 ),
typified by headlines such as "life expectancy to soar" (
59 ), "will life expectancy ever stop rising" ( 61 ),
"scientists: human lifespan has no natural limit" ( 61
), "ever increasing longevity" ( 62
), and "Japan leads way into new age of longevity" ( 64
). These reports
contradict earlier research which indicated "mankind nears its old
age limits" ( 65 ), a view which acknowledges the misleading
effects of large reductions in infant mortality ( 65,
66 ). In spite of
these reports however, and in spite of the risk of becoming excessively
repetitive, I am forced to point out yet again that reductions in infant
mortality make the average life
expectancy at birth data used by Oeppen and Vaupel totally invalid as a
reliable means of assessing total life span or longevity ( 60 ).
In this respect it is indeed interesting to note that although Oeppen
and Vaupel ( 57 ) acknowledge that "before 1950, most of the gain
in life expectancy was due to reductions in death rates at younger ages",
they nevertheless still include this data as a vital part of their
evidence that we are living longer and longer. Once again it seems that the fewer infants that die, the longer we all will live. Oeppen and Vaupel have
obtained mathematical life expectancy figures which are completely remote
from the biological aspects of ageing and longevity ( 63
). Quite clearly, Oeppen
and Vaupel's life expectancy predictions also see the current epidemics of
obesity and diabetes as correlating with continuing increases in life
expectancy. Interestingly, the increasing incidence of these disorders is
consistent with current theories regarding the effects
of elevated cortisol levels upon ageing and longevity, theories which
are probably of little interest to mathematicians.
When it comes to predicting life expectancy changes in the future it is
generally acknowledged that reductions in infant mortality will level off
and this will also cause a corresponding levelling off of life expectancy.
In other words, life expectancy, which has been artificially elevated by
reductions in infant mortality, will increase much more slowly, if at all.
Since future changes in life expectancy will therefore be increasingly
determined by genuine increases in longevity rather than reductions in
infant mortality, this slowdown or reversal of life expectancy provides a
considerable incentive for new ( more positive? ) ways of analysing life
expectancy data. The study of Oeppen an Vaupel could be seen as answering
this need by adopting an approach which may assist in concealing this
expected slowdown in life expectancy rates.
I must admit I have found this research into life expectancy to be most
informative. I have learned much of which I was previously unaware. The
commonly employed technique of using reductions in infant deaths to claim
a general increase in life expectancy and longevity has been most
illuminating. It conjures up all manner of hypothetical scenarios. For
instance, just imagine what could be achieved by deliberately lowering the
birth rate. If we could prevent all births, and continue this for 10 years
we could completely prevent all deaths ( forgetting immigration ) under 10
years of age. This would have an astonishing effect upon life expectancy.
As a general rule in fact, the fewer children that are born, the longer they will live!! Furthermore,
using currently accepted criteria for calculating life
expectancy, this would be a scientific fact!!
Another difficulty with regard to life expectancy figures relates to
claims that any years of extra life that have occurred are considered to be extra years with a disability rather than extra years of healthy life (
37
), however I shall consider this matter a little later.
Although many experts use causes of death statistics as a means of
assessing trends in public health, as is the case with life expectancy
figures, these figures are also frequently misused and misunderstood. Causes of death figures
for instance, do not reflect the "incidence" of the various
diseases which afflict the human race and therefore may be quite misleading. A person may suffer for
example, from heart disease for 20 years and then because he/she dies as the result of an accident, this fact may never be statistically revealed. Similarly, as I have mentioned elsewhere (
see But What About
Efficacy? ), cancer patients who die from aggressive medical treatment before succumbing to the cancer, would in effect, serve to lower the cancer death rate.
In view of the limitations of causes of death statistics it is
interesting to note that these figures frequently seem to be very popular
with health authorities. In fact, causes of death statistics commonly seem
to be given a much higher and more public profile than disease incidence
rates, especially when the latter figures may not be so positive. As is
the case with life expectancy statistics, disease statistics seem to be
used in a very selective manner. Statistics for heart disease probably
represent one of the best examples of the misuse of causes of death
statistics. I will consider heart disease statistics in considerable
detail a little later ( see Heart Disease as an
Indicator of Health Trends ).
b) Reliable Indicators for Assessing Public Health Trends
Clearly, the most direct, and therefore the most accurate indicator of health trends is the incidence of various illnesses throughout the community. Unlike life expectancy and causes of death statistics, illness morbidity figures represent a direct measure of health trends in modern society. Given the importance of accuracy in determining health trends however, these figures should also be confirmed by secondary data such as the per capita consumption of prescription drugs and use of medical services. Additionally, since increasing numbers of people are consulting alternative practitioners, changing rates of the use of medical services should also include consultations with non-medical practitioners to give a more accurate picture of the use of
health services.
By using illness morbidity figures as our primary source of information combined with this confirmatory data a
more accurate and reliable picture of modern health trends may be obtained. While life expectancy and causes of death statistics are often claimed to indicate improving health trends in modern society, let us see what this alternative data reveals.
2. Health Trends in Modern Society
Comparisons between these two systems of health criteria are graphically illustrated by two recent conflicting studies of the health of Australians, namely the study of de Looper and Bhatia
( 45
), and that of Walker ( 37
). While de Looper and Bhatia ( 45
) give prominence to life expectancy at birth and causes of death statistics as a means of evaluating health trends, Walker (
37
) on the other hand, refers extensively to chronic illness surveys which reveal the changing incidence of various diseases in Australia. The dramatically different conclusions reached by these workers, being a result of these different forms of public health criteria, are of fundamental importance to anyone who is interested in accurately assessing health trends in modern society. Of these two studies I will begin by considering the study of de Looper and Bhatia (
45 ).
Probably the most conspicuous aspect of the study by de Looper and Bhatia (
45 ) is the dramatic difference between the major conclusions publicised in their media release (
47 ) and other statistical data which remains buried in the body of their report. It seems that prominence is given to those statistics which may be construed as indicating that public health is progressing in a positive direction. For instance, notwithstanding the fact that de Looper and Bhatia draw attention to the fact that Australians are becoming more overweight and are spending more
( per person ) on health, these workers make the following conclusion in their media release
( 47 ):
"Australians lived longer and healthier lives in the 1990's" and
"life expectancy continues to increase."
Especially in view of these positive conclusions of de Looper and Bhatia it is
enlightening to examine other statistical data provided by these workers in the body of their report. As far as life expectancy is concerned for instance, these workers fail to mention in their media release that the life expectancy of 65 year old Australians has only increased by 1.9 years ( men ) and 1.5 years ( women ) during the period 1989
-1999 (
48 ). More significantly however, de Looper and Bhatia acknowledge in their report that an increasing period of the life of Australians is characterised by a disability. In fact, of the predicted years of life expectancy of Australians "only 57.5
( 76% - males ) and 63.3 ( 78% -females ) of these years" "are expected to be disability
free" ( 49
). Furthermore, the period of life which is disability free is actually declining as more people spend more years of their lives suffering from one or more
disabilities. According to de Looper and Bhatia (
49
), the expected years of life with "core activity restriction" increased by 87% and 58% for Australian men and women during the period 1981 - 1998. It is absolutely astonishing that these vital figures were omitted from the media release of de Looper and Bhatia.
In summary then, according to de Looper and Bhatia, Australians are becoming healthier but yet they can expect to spend an increasingly greater period of their lives suffering from one or more disabilities.
It must also be emphasised, in spite of a very common misconception to the contrary, the increasing number of years of life Australians are spending with one or more disabilities or chronic illnesses is not due to an increasing life
expectancy. This point is made quite clear by the fact that although life expectancy of 65 year old Australians increased by only 2.3 - 2.9% between 1989 -
1999 ( 48
), during the period 1981 - 1998 the expected years of life with "core activity restriction" increased by 58% for women, and 87% for
men ( 49
). Quite clearly, the number of years of healthy life of Australians is declining very dramatically whereas any increases in statistical life expectancy are extremely small.
In total contrast to the conclusions of de Looper and Bhatia regarding the health of Australians, according to a detailed study by Walker (
37
), which is based upon the incidence of various illnesses, the health of Australians has deteriorated significantly over the past few decades. The data cited by Walker indicates that this deterioration in health is apparent across the entire spectrum of human illnesses, from
less serious illnesses right through to more severe or terminal illnesses. Interestingly, as was also the case with de Looper and Bhatia, Walker (
37
) reported a significant increase in the per capita use of medical services during the study period.
Walker emphasises the fact that this deterioration in the health of Australians has occurred in spite of continuing medical breakthroughs and "heightened awareness and responsiveness of people to health issues." Walker continues (
37
):
"the statistics show that many stopped smoking, adopted healthier eating habits and took up regular exercise. Also, the population had access to improved immunisation schemes and to cancer and other screening programs. In addition, health expenditures continued to rise as a share of GDP, suggesting improvements in and/or more frequent usage of medical
services."
Walker also notes that her findings have been confirmed by various other studies, both in Australia and also in other countries. Other workers cited by Walker note, with regard to the alleged increase in life expectancy, that any years of life that have been gained are actually
"extra years with a disability, not extra years of healthy life"
( 37
). These trends have recently been confirmed again by the Australian
Health Survey of 2001 which found that a staggering 87% of people over 15
years of age had "one or more long term medical conditions",
an increase of 4% since 1995 ( 143
). At this rate, in less than 20 years 100% of Australians will suffer
from a long term medical condition.
If the findings of Walker are accurate then quite clearly they should also be confirmed by other data such as the sales of pharmaceuticals and prescribed drugs. Data published by the Australian Pharmaceutical Manufacturers Association (APMA) in their Facts Book (
50 ) reveals that that the sale of pharmaceuticals is increasing at an astonishing rate, in total agreement with the research of Walker
( 37
). While the world pharmaceutical market is worth around $US300 billion annually
( 51 ), Australian sales total around $6.04 billion (
52 ), which represents an increase in sales of around 260% in ten years (
52 ). In the past decade drug companies have developed in excess of 300 new medicines for the Australian market (
53 ), correlating with a doubling in growth of the pharmaceutical industry between the years 1990 - 1995
( 52 ). During this same period production from other Australian industries actually diminished (
52 ).
In the six year period from 1992 -1998 there was a massive 117% increase in the number of prescribed drugs for "peptic ulcers/ reflux", while in the same period prescriptions for antidepressants increased by 60% (
54
). In spite of these massive increases, the Australian Institute of Health
and Welfare makes the point that increases in the numbers of prescriptions for a specific drug are not an accurate indication of drug usage (
54
). This is because prescription numbers do not reflect increasing consumption due to increased dosages (
54
). To eliminate this error the Institute suggests that the "defined daily dose"
( DDD ) of a drug provides a more accurate picture of changes in drug consumption. If we examine the DDD of antidepressants we observe that the consumption of these drugs has almost tripled in only six years (
54
). This is a staggering increase, especially in view of the development of the supposedly more effective new generation antidepressants. Once again the same pattern emerges, the more drugs we take, the more we seem to need more.
The changes occurring in the use of health services within Australia are typical of changes occurring
throughout the Western world. In Canada for instance, the sales of drugs increased by 11.4% in 1999 as compared to 1998, reaching a total of $8,306 billion (
55 ). Canadians had an astounding 22 million more visits to the doctor in 1999 than they did in 1998
( 55 ).
One reason why we need more and more prescription drugs is because
succeeding generations are becoming sicker at younger and younger ages as
compared to their predecessors. Throughout this web site I have expressed
concern regarding the long term consequences of symptomatic medical
treatments the aim of which is to conceal any underlying disease and
encourage it to continue unchecked. The possible consequences of this type
of symptomatic disease "management" strategy is especially
important when it comes to genetic diseases which may be expected to
become more rampant in the next generation if the underlying cause is not
addressed. Increasingly it is being realised that this is precisely what
is happening. Genetic diseases are becoming more severe and occurring at
younger ages in succeeding generations, a phenomena which has been termed
"genetic anticipation"
( 129,
130,
131,
132,
133,
134,
135,
136,
137,
138,
139,
140,
141,
142
). Does this mean that even those who merely have (undiagnosed)
subclinical disease may produce children with a fully developed genetic
disorder? Does genetic anticipation also effect genetic
nutrition (ie those who have a genetically increased need for certain
nutrients - see
Nutrigenomics and the Bold New World of Individualised Nutrition).
The onus is clearly upon those who claim we are becoming healthier to
explain precisely why we are becoming sicker at younger and younger ages
and why healthier people have an increased need for
prescription drugs. They must also explain why, as we become healthier, we
are becoming more obese and suffering increasingly from both the major and
minor diseases of modern Western society. Paradoxically, it seems that those authorities who
claim that modern medicine is so effective that we are on the verge of
reversing the ageing process are also frequently the most ardent
supporters of genetic engineering. The urgency and desperation with which
genetic engineering is being embraced by the scientific community however,
is a clear and confident admission that conventional medical therapies
have not only failed in the past, but furthermore, they are expected to
continue failing in the future. In this enlightened age it is becoming
increasingly clear that diet and nutritional therapy may be more
effective, especially preventatively, than all the dazzling medical
technology that has emerged during the past century. Even doctors are
describing many modern diseases as "lifestyle" diseases, a
traditional holistic message which has long been ridiculed. The naturopaths and
herbalists of the past, traditionally regarded as quacks by the medical
profession, are leading the way into the 21st century!
Heart Disease as an Indicator of Health
Trends
In spite of the numerous high tech medical advancements and
breakthroughs which have occurred over the past century heart disease has
become the number one killer in modern society. It is vitally important
that we explore the reasons for this and examine directional trends in the
incidence of heart disease. I should perhaps point out that the term
"cardiovascular disease" includes heart disease, strokes and
peripheral vascular disease ( 16
).
One hundred years ago, in 1900, both heart disease and cancer were
virtually unknown. Both these diseases are an invention of the 20th
century. The increasing
prominence of heart disease or cardiovascular disease ( CVD ) parallels
the development of scientific medicine in the 20th century. In 1900 deaths
from heart disease and cancer represented, respectively, just 6.2% and
3.7% of total deaths ( see thumbnail ). By 1997 these figures had
increased alarmingly to 31.4% and 23.3% representing increases of 506% for
heart disease and 629% for cancer ( 68,
69, 71
). After the past 100 years of advances and breakthroughs in
scientific medicine, today, the sad truth is that heart disease and
strokes claim the life of an Australian every 10-12 minutes( 42,
108
). In America a person suffers a "coronary event" every 29
seconds while a fatal heart attack is experienced every minute ( 109
). In the UK heart disease claims a life every 3 minutes ( 110
).

(Note: the above graphic does not
list deaths from iatrogenic
diseases)
When it comes to death
rates for heart disease and cancer, many health authorities are
extremely selective about the data they use. Although many authorities
quote life expectancy data for the past 100 years, when it comes to heart
disease and cancer death rates this 100 year period is persistently
avoided. Most authorities are very careful to utilise figures only for the
past few decades or the latter part of the 20th century. There is a very
good reason for this since if we compare heart disease and cancer death
rates in 1900 with those in 2000 a very grim picture emerges.
The truth is that death rates ( per 100,000 ) for heart disease and
cancer have increased, respectively, by a massive 237-322% and 332-359%
from 1900 to 2000 ( 67,
70 ).
Most authorities display a determination to avoid these figures and
focus exclusively upon figures for the latter part of the 20th century
which reveal a decline in heart disease deaths. It should be noted
however, that not only is this decline in heart disease deaths diminishing
( 72, 73
), and may even be reversing ( 72
), but furthermore, the incidence of CVD is still increasing ( 16,
43, 74
). Even if the
current rate of decline in heart disease deaths were to continue it will take many years
before we get back to where we were in 1900. With cancer the situation is
even worse since there is still no significant and sustained decline in cancer
deaths.
The facts relating to heart disease are of vital importance in
assessing the effectiveness of modern scientific medicine since it has
been repeatedly stated that the decline in heart disease deaths over the
past few decades is one of the greatest of all the achievements of modern
medicine ( 75,
76
). However, when medical experts describe a disease which kills an
American every 60 seconds and has a death rate which
is still more than 200% higher than it was in 1900, as one of the greatest
achievements of modern medicine there is clearly cause for considerable
concern. There is no doubt what would have occurred if alternative
medicine had boasted of a similar "achievement".
Even though health authorities often claim that CVD is declining in
Australia, it must be emphasised that such claims are based upon the death rate rather than the
incidence of CVD ( 41,
42 ). In reality, the incidence of
CVD in Australia has
increased from 17.4% in 1990 to 20.9% in 1995 ( 43 ). In this five year period
the number of Australians suffering from CVD increased by 29% ( 16,
43 ).
Furthermore, this increase is not due to the ageing of the population ( 16,
44
).
According to the ABS in this regard ( 44 ): "age-standardisation of the data
indicated that over this period the ageing of the Australian population
played only a small part in the increase in prevalence of cardiovascular
disease." The ageing of the population, it should be noted, is due predominantly
to the
declining birth rate ( 27,
28 ).
Australia is not alone when it comes to the increasing prevalence of heart
disease since this is a trend which is occurring throughout the world ( 127
).
In spite of these facts health authorities seem reluctant to mention
the fact that the incidence of CVD is actually increasing ( 40,
41,
42 ).
Even the Heart Foundation of Australia seems to focus exclusively
upon the death rate rather than the increasing
prevalence of CVD ( 42
). Similarly, although de Looper and Bhatia (
45
) supply
data in their report for both the incidence and death rates for certain
diseases, when it comes to heart disease they chose to include the death
rate and omit the incidence rate ( 46
). Quite clearly, most medical authorities seek not to give prominence to
the increasing incidence of heart disease ( 16,
40,
43, 74
) or the astonishing increase in heart disease deaths which have occurred
over the past century ( 67,
70 ).
Instead of acknowledging responsibility for this situation health
authorities seek praise for the recent decline in heart disease deaths.
Although health authorities may suggest that heart disease is becoming
less prevalent because of the declining death rate, it is interesting to
note the astonishing increase in the use of emergency surgical procedures which
has
been required to treat heart disease patients over the past few decades.
Heart bypass operations for instance, which only began in Australia around
the late 1960's ( 81
), increased to around 17,000 operations annually in 1998 (
81 ). Bypass operations increased around 400% from 1980 to 1998 ( 81
). From 1985 to 1999 the use of coronary angioplasty increased more than
1000% ( 81
). Furthermore, in the 1990's coronary stenting was introduced to "reduce
the risk of early closure of the coronary artery following coronary
angioplasty" ( 81
). Not only is their a high rate of reblockage following coronary
angioplasty ( 81
), which may incidentally be significantly reduced by vitamin therapy ( 82,
83, 84
), but
furthermore, the occurrence of reblockage is a feature of bypass
operations also ( 81
).
It cannot be overemphasised that the use of these surgical procedures
represents desperate last minute attempts to save the lives of patients
whom the health care system has failed. The need for such procedures is
clearly proportional to the extent to which medicine has failed at the
preventative level. Since such procedures are not cause based and play no
role in prevention it is hardly surprising that the incidence of heart
disease is still increasing. Are we content to continue to try and patch
up our ailing hearts without addressing the cause?
Recognition that heart disease cannot be properly addressed by
symptomatic interventionist techniques has eventually led to scientific
medicine acknowledging the traditional holistic teaching that health is
indeed influenced by lifestyle
factors. Unfortunately this is a lesson which has been learned
agonisingly slowly and in fact, has still not been fully learned. Although
the connection between diet and heart disease, particularly the saturated
fat content, is now generally acknowledged by modern medicine, the
importance of optimum nutrition is still frequently disputed. Even when it
comes to correcting excess dietary fat consumption, the medical solution
is not necessarily dietary but rather involves the consumption of even
more prescription drugs. Medicine it seems, will continue to cling to its
symptomatic drug oriented interventionist approach to health care.
It is interesting to note for instance that orthodox medicine continues
to display an obsession with drug treatment as a first option
to reduce cholesterol levels. In 1998 for instance, Australian doctors
wrote nearly 7 million prescriptions for cholesterol lowering drugs, an
increase of more than 300% in only six years ( 54
). In fact, Simvastatin had become the fourth most prescribed drug in
1997-98 ( 54
). By 2000-2001 cholesterol lowering drugs had become the first and second
most prescribed drugs in Australia ( 79
). Remarkably,
this amazing achievement occurred in a medical environment which is
highlighting the importance of lifestyle factors such as diet and
nutrition. It seems that when there is a drug option this will
automatically be preferred to lifestyle factors. However, in spite of the
increased use of cholesterol lowering drugs the cholesterol levels of
Australians has not changed in 20 years ( 78
). Since the cause of excessive cholesterol levels is generally accepted
as being dietary ( 78
), cholesterol lowering drugs are being used in preference to dietary changes.
That this astonishing increase in lipid lowering drugs could occur at
all, let alone when medicine is publicly espousing the importance of diet,
is deplorable. What does this single fact say about the health of
Australians? Why has it become necessary to medicate so many Australians
to lower their cholesterol levels? While I acknowledge the fact that
the health of Australians is deteriorating, is it really deteriorating at
such an astonishing rate? At this rate of increase in another
twenty years our consumption of lipid lowering drugs will have increased
by almost 1000%. All this when we are having more and more heart surgery
and are apparently becoming healthier. It is
just as well medicine has changed its focus to emphasise the importance of
lifestyle factors!!
While the influence of lifestyle factors upon heart disease was
initially thought to be confined to such factors as dietary fat content, exercise,
smoking and obesity, increasing evidence has forced modern medicine to
acknowledge the importance of optimum nutrition for cardiovascular health.
Perhaps the greatest breakthrough in this respect was the discovery that
elevated homocysteine levels, caused by deficiency of vitamins, could cause
arterial damage either by a direct toxic effect or by oxidising
cholesterol deposits ( 85,
86,
87,
88,
89, 90,
111,
113
), a fact which some authorities believe makes cholesterol levels per se
relatively unimportant ( 93
). With much reluctance, the medical profession has now generally
accepted the fact that supplements of vitamins B6, B12 and folic acid may
lower homocysteine levels and significantly reduce the risk of heart
disease ( 86,
91,
92,
93,
111,
113
). Conversely, large doses of B3 as are sometimes used by doctors to treat
circulatory disorders, may actually elevate homocysteine levels ( 113
).
According to accumulating scientific evidence there are also many
other nutrients that are necessary for a healthy cardiovascular
system. These include vitamin E ( 90,
93,
94,
95, 112
), vitamin C
and bioflavonoids ( 90,
93,
94,
95, 112
), beta
carotene ( 90,
93,
112
), magnesium ( 90,
98,
99 ), selenium ( 90,
97,
112
), copper ( 112
), zinc ( 112
), manganese ( 112
), carnitine ( 90,
96
), chromium ( 90,
114
), and essential fatty acids ( 90,
100,
101,
102,
103
).
When it comes to nutrition and heart disease medical experts have yet
to learn the lessons taught by Roger Williams more than three
decades ago ( 115 ):
| "Of the more than a million people who die
in this country yearly from heart and circulatory diseases, many
succumb prematurely and needlessly simply because they have not
provided a suitable internal environment for the tissues which
perform vital work." "........ nothing is so
important in the microenvironment of the living cells in heart and
blood vessels and elsewhere as the assortment of nutrient
substances in which these cells are continually bathed."
"............actually it is the cellular nutrition
that needs attention." |
In further confirmation of the nutritional cause of heart disease is
the observation that dietary fat intake is not necessarily related to the
occurrence of cardiovascular disease. It has long been known, from
studying different cultures throughout the world, that people who consume
up to 355 grams of fat daily and consume a diet in which 60% of the
calories come from saturated fat have been shown to have virtually no
heart disease ( see: Lowenstein, F.W., Am.J.Clin.Nutr., 15, 175,
1964; and other studies reviewed by Williams, 115 ).
In spite of overwhelming evidence of the importance of nutrition,
medical research is still frequently characterised by a pronounced
anti-nutrition bias (
see Medical Bias ). Medical researchers still resort to
brief highly selective trials to discourage the use of nutrition and justify the
use of modern symptom based surgical or drug therapies for heart disease (
104,
105,
106,
107
). These treatments continue to be recommended even though they offer no
hope of cure. When it comes to heart disease I give absolute priority
to one clinical trial - a trial which began in 1900, continued for 100
years and involved people throughout the world.
The results of this clinical trial are absolutely conclusive. In
spite of continuing "breakthroughs", increasing reliance upon surgery and drug therapy
over the past 100 years has correlated with
heart disease emerging from virtual obscurity to become the number one killer throughout the world. While heart disease
deaths have declined in the
past few decades, a fact which may be partly due to increasing interest in
nutrition and nutritional fortification of foods (
92
), the increasing incidence of heart disease combined with the staggering
increase in consumption of hypolipidemic drugs and heart surgery, is cause
for alarm. If our hearts continue to fail at such a rapid rate not only
will the use of such
symptomatic patch up treatments soon reach epidemic proportions, but
furthermore, there will also be an increasing need for artificial hearts
and other heart "spare parts".
The medical profession's rejection of the importance of
nutritional therapy and the processing of nutrients out of our foods has
correlated with a constantly increasing incidence of chronic diseases such
as heart disease, cancer, and diabetes. In fact, the past 100 years of scientific
medicine has been characterised by an unprecedented deterioration in
health due to chronic diseases. Paradoxically, the century during which
vitamins were discovered is also the century during which more was done to
process the vitamins out of our foods than ever before. While most health indicators over the past 100 years reveal that
scientific medicine has had a decidedly negative impact there are some
benefits. The triumph over certain infectious diseases is most notable in
this respect.
Additionally, modern scientific medicine has created a phenomenal world
wide dependence upon pharmaceutical drugs which has resulted in the
emergence of a brand new epidemic of diseases called iatrogenic
diseases. It is this epidemic of iatrogenic diseases which is
claimed to be largely responsible for the correlation between increased
numbers of doctors and increased mortality. According to Richardson &
Peacock in this regard (151)
"an
increase in the doctor supply is associated with an increase in mortality".
Richardson and Peacock continue (151):
| "systemic evidence is
surprisingly consistent. It implies an association between
mortality and an increase in the doctor supply which is not easily
attributed to reverse causation or to a spurious correlation with
some other attribute of the population." |
As if this is not bad enough, Richardson & Peacock (151)
further point out that "it is now known that
nutrition has been the major determinant of mortality in the last 200
years" and people generally have "an
erroneous and exaggerated belief in the efficacy of modern medicine."
Clearly, the challenge is for health authorities to urgently address these
erroneous and exaggerated beliefs. To this end the public
should be immediately advised that modern scientific medicine is not
equipped to diagnose and treat nutritional disorders.
History shows that virtually every
nutritional discovery, whether involving thiamine and beri beri, folate
and birth defects, folate and heart disease, vitamin B6 and heart disease,
vitamin E and heart disease or the many other nutritional discoveries, has been rejected and scoffed at
by medical science, and eventually accepted only
begrudgingly. Resort is repeatedly given to the use of clinical trials to
justify medicine's drug oriented approach to health care ( or disease care
). Such an attitude is consistent with a belief that disease results
from mysterious extraneous influences which arbitrarily inflict themselves
upon the body rather than being the result of a deviation from the
normality that results from optimum nutrition.
Yet, unlike drugs and surgery, nutrition is overwhelmingly safe and
natural. Nutrients form the substance of every cell in our bodies and are
required for every metabolic reaction. Unlike drugs and surgery, nutrition promotes health,
vitality and normality. The natural function of nutrition is to restore to
normal or optimum. Nutrition is an absolutely integral and inseparable
part of health. Medicine however, prefers to use
toxic foreign compounds which have absolutely no role to play in the
healthy body. While the effectiveness of drugs depends upon their
ability to conceal symptoms, nutritional supplements on the other hand,
which have no symptom suppressing ability, rely on their ability to
normalise or cure.
For obvious reasons, the truth about heart disease and cancer mortality in the 20th century
has been carefully concealed. The appalling increases in these diseases
necessitates that we urgently identify and change contributory factors
within our "scientific" health care system. Modern medicine must
explain why automatic preference continues to be given to toxic or
invasive heart disease treatments which offer no hope of cure. Is it surprising that heart disease continues to be
the number one killer when doctors are so determined to avoid utilising
those substances which form such an integral part of normal health and
well-being?
Conclusion
In spite of the fact that those who have a vested interest in our current orthodox medicine based health care system have a history of putting a spin on figures related to health trends, there is absolutely no doubt that
the practice of orthodox medicine has coincided with a continuing deterioration in
major public health indicators. The following health indicators confirm this simple fact.
- Heart disease and cancer death rates have increased by more than
200% - 300% in the past 100 years and the incidence of heart disease
is still increasing.
- Health surveys reveal that an increasing number of people are suffering from one or more chronic illnesses.
- The incidence of various disorders, including diabetes and obesity, are increasing throughout the Western world.
- There has been no increase in total life span or longevity over the past century.
Although we are managing to prolong the lives of many who are ill we
are also becoming sicker earlier in life.
- More people are spending a greater period of their lives suffering from one or more disabilities. This is not related to increased life expectancy.
- There is a continuing increase in the per capita use of medical services - although more people are going to the doctor more often, they are becoming sicker in spite of reductions in smoking and increasing use of diet and exercise programs.
- There continues to be an astonishing increase in the use of pharmaceutical products and prescription drugs - a fact which correlates with a deterioration in public health. The more drugs we take, the sicker we are becoming.
- The incidence of iatrogenic
diseases is increasing alarmingly and has now become the third
leading cause of death behind heart disease and cancer.
The direction in which public health is progressing under the
influence of scientific medicine is made abundantly clear by the
astonishing rapidity with which the three leading causes of death have
skyrocketed to their current positions of ascendency. There is no cure in sight for the current epidemics of heart disease, cancer, and
iatrogenic disease. If our health care system remains fundamentally
reductionist, symptomatic and interventionist, all the available evidence
indicates that these, and various other chronic diseases, will be the
diseases of the future. Holistic therapies such as nutrition on the other hand,
increasingly offer an effective solution.
As a patient, I must admit that I find it absolutely astonishing how little concern is shown by health care professionals regarding the current direction of our health care
system as evidenced by the above facts. Many in the profession still seem
to pretend, on the basis of life expectancy at birth figures, that we are living longer and becoming healthier. This is cause for real concern.
Why is it, one may well ask, that so many medical authorities and other
health care professionals prefer not to publicise the importance of life expectancy at 70 years of age?
Why do so many experts prefer to publicise life expectancy at birth
figures and ignore statistics which reveal spiralling increases in the
incidence of chronic illnesses and disabilities? Why also do so many
authorities refuse to publicise the appalling increase in heart disease and
cancer deaths which have occurred over the past century?
To deliberately mislead or deceive the public by misuse of life
expectancy and causes of death data is totally unacceptable and reflects very poorly upon the
integrity and reliability of anyone who indulges in such practices. Yet,
the consistency and apparent determination with which many
"experts" avoid revealing the precise meaning and limitations of
health statistics is amazing. Such persons also tend to display a
preoccupation with a purely mathematical approach to life expectancy, an
approach that is so remote from any consideration of the biological
aspects of ageing and longevity that it is also completely detached from
the real world. Such authorities also commonly display a determination to
avoid real life data showing increasing disease rates in modern society.
Instead of enshrouding life expectancy in a cloud of confusing and
misleading figures, no effort should be spared in ensuring such figures
are totally transparent.
Time and again we see that the actions of health authorities are
consistent with a desire to abandon public health concerns in order to protect and
perpetuate our current medical system.
Also disturbing is the current move towards corporatised
medicine. Corporatised medicine of course, seeks to create an environment in which medical decisions will be increasingly dictated by profits, not patient
care ( 56
). Already, it has been reported that there are higher death rates at
"for profit" hospitals as medical services may be restructured
to suit the healthy rather than the sick ( 56
). As medicine becomes corporatised private hospitals are rejecting
the more severely ill in preference for "easy fix" patients who
are considered to be more profitable, a process which is described as
"cherry picking" (144,
145, 146,
147,
148,
149, 150).
One patient, who subsequently died, was initially admitted to hospital but
was suddenly discharged and told there were "no beds" when it
was discovered that she did not have private health insurance (145).
Medical decisions are increasingly being made by accountants, economists, and bureaucrats.
The doctor of the future will be forced to spend an increasing amount of
time being trained to juggle the conflicting interests of patient care and
reducing costs. He/she will need to become more adept at minimising costs
without sacrificing the life or well being of the patient. Patients with
complex problems whom it is not considered cost-effective to treat
will be placed well down the priority list. In fact, patients who are
extremely ill may be seriously disadvantaged by a system which prefers to
prioritise on the basis of cost rather than compassion. In spite of these facts, why is it that so few within the health care
profession are seeking to alert the public to the dangers of
corporatisation?
It seems amazingly incongruous that those who are concerned about the
cost effectiveness of our health care system are also completely
unconcerned about the symptomatic interventionist nature of this system.
Although seemingly unpopular, the cost advantages of a cause based
preventative health care system are obvious. Symptomatic treatments are
inherently expensive, especially in the long run. Patients are forced to
return to doctors time and again, perhaps for 40 or 50 years, simply in order to
have the same symptoms suppressed. Cost effective preventative treatments,
such as nutritional therapy, are avoided in favour of expensive operations
with all their complications. Health funds often refuse to cover
preventative nutritional tests and treatments, preferring instead to wait until expensive
surgery becomes necessary. Is it just the lucrative human repair industry
we are trying to promote rather than a compassion based preventative
health care system?
The evidence is clear. In spite of the ever increasing health budget, more and more visits to the doctor, and a huge increase in the consumption of prescription drugs, we are becoming sicker. Are we going to continue to ignore this evidence? Are we going to continue to pretend that eliminating infant deaths will somehow cause the entire community to live longer ( ie. increase life expectancy)? After 300 years of the application of reductionist science in the fields of medicine, nutrition, food technology, and agriculture, the health of mankind is deteriorating, even in spite of the
triumphs of medicine in certain fields ( ie. the conquering of certain infections ).
Perhaps when patients become more important than profits or perpetuation and protection of the medical system
itself we will be in a position to initiate an evidence and compassion based health care system.
Let us return the focus to patient care.
Let us accept the need for fundamental change and move forward by creating a safer and more effective health
care system Let us move forward with an urgency that reflects our concern
about the needless suffering of patients. In doing so our health care
system will also become much more cost effective - but for all the right
reasons
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